Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 5.304841 5.792794 6.325427 6.953612 7.678943 8.495927 9.494023
2025-02-16 4.491896 5.148342 5.920135 6.908926 8.163908 9.735266 11.905442
2025-02-23 4.055612 4.801812 5.724988 6.980095 8.690966 11.022326 14.599597
2025-03-02 3.641754 4.407325 5.388092 6.778657 8.776061 11.680433 16.535282
2025-03-09 3.347748 4.124609 5.148922 6.653697 8.915946 12.404033 18.728473
2025-03-16 3.135506 3.924341 4.991391 6.610228 9.149417 13.291857 21.446340
2025-03-23 3.019253 3.840127 4.980254 6.769652 9.708182 14.815089 25.893924
2025-03-30 2.820176 3.623310 4.757597 6.577112 9.656668 15.243299 28.231842
2025-04-06 2.645290 3.428008 4.549431 6.382749 9.569517 15.579438 30.493099
2025-04-13 2.492619 3.254635 4.360281 6.198595 9.472004 15.870668 32.773213
2025-04-20 2.384756 3.139758 4.250638 6.132854 9.577350 16.596421 36.592295
2025-04-27 2.343108 3.119396 4.283295 6.306824 10.153527 18.473466 45.046929
2025-05-04 2.281866 3.072347 4.280567 6.438185 10.709126 20.573842 56.658485
2025-05-11 2.194266 2.981199 4.202797 6.432596 10.998078 22.159678 68.503067
2025-05-18 2.128636 2.919566 4.167640 6.499782 11.454318 24.371127 87.031430
2025-05-25 2.023317 2.789491 4.009398 6.318699 11.327772 24.882786 97.350651
2025-06-01 1.938840 2.688082 3.892773 6.206077 11.341415 25.841428 113.066894
2025-06-08 1.873605 2.614028 3.817719 6.166869 11.522680 27.424260 138.646558
2025-06-15 1.843051 2.594111 3.834137 6.310614 12.179073 30.968224 200.496787
2025-06-22 1.764912 2.492588 3.701249 6.136990 11.998373 31.355255 227.583053
2025-06-29 1.691553 2.396031 3.572281 5.961471 11.789177 31.575862 255.786977
2025-07-06 1.624094 2.306691 3.451877 5.794933 11.582400 31.753007 287.399649
2025-07-13 1.576390 2.248421 3.384390 5.735424 11.660147 33.206018 366.421000